Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

220.28 – 99.39

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

409 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 168.2 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 455.9 ±12.8

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 111.86Rank 7Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 27.45Rank 10Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 80.97Rank 9Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.8 ±13.3

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX -63.11Rank 17Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5822WolfByte

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 80.74Rank 11Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 81.76Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 111, 7848, 2358

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.3 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 111, 7848, 2358

Auto

60.3 26%

Teleop

123.3 54%

Endgame

44.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4787, 5822, 112

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.4 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4787, 5822, 112

Auto

47.1 46%

Teleop

59.7 58%

Endgame

-4.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score220.3pts

Blue projected score99.4pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 120.9
Score range: 49–270
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 656 vs event baseline 279.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

455.9Season APEX263.8

60.3Auto47.1

123.3Teleop59.7

44.9Endgame-4.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	16
teleop	266	147
endgame	74	84
foul	0	0
total	409	247

Result

Final score

409 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 168.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree