Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

315 – 101.91

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

288 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 326.6 ±14.5

1781Lindblom Electric Eagles

Season APEX 88.3Event APEX 67.01Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 88.93Rank 9Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 159.06Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 274.5 ±12.7

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 79.49Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 0.78Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 21.64Rank 21Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1781, 2358, 10435

/ 100 compat

Projected

315 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1781, 2358, 10435

Auto

47.7 15%

Teleop

174.5 56%

Endgame

91.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8096, 8880, 3067

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.9 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8096, 8880, 3067

Auto

15.3 16%

Teleop

49.0 51%

Endgame

31.7 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score315pts

Blue projected score101.9pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 213.1
Score range: 52–365
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 276.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

326.6Season APEX274.5

47.7Auto15.3

174.5Teleop49

91.8Endgame31.7

51Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	23
teleop	157	47
endgame	87	12
foul	0	0
total	288	82

Result

Final score

288 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree