Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.9 – 158.73

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

261 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 72.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 385.7 ±13.6

3734StarBots

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 27.23Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 94.38Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 80.29Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.6 ±13.3

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 60.35Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 36.01Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 62.37Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3734, 8096, 3061

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3734, 8096, 3061

Auto

45.0 23%

Teleop

106.5 55%

Endgame

42.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2358, 3067, 8880

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.7 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2358, 3067, 8880

Auto

21.4 14%

Teleop

96.4 63%

Endgame

35.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score201.9pts

Blue projected score158.7pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.2
Score range: 127–234
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 175.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

385.7Season APEX262.6

45Auto21.4

106.5Teleop96.4

42.8Endgame35.2

75Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	21
teleop	113	43
endgame	46	9
foul	45	0
total	261	73

Result

Final score

261 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 72.4 pts

Match videos

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