Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

233.32 – 240.22

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

175 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 62.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 315.7 ±15.4

7201Crobotics

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 27.14Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 127.08Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 82

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 79.1Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 547.5 ±10.5

8029Steel Bronco Robotics

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 30.54Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 108.39Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 101.29Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7201, 5934, 8020

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.3 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7201, 5934, 8020

Auto

60.3 27%

Teleop

114.6 52%

Endgame

47.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8029, 48, 2338

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.2 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8029, 48, 2338

Auto

55.7 23%

Teleop

130.3 54%

Endgame

55.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score233.3pts

Blue projected score240.2pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.9
Score range: 202–271
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 481 vs event baseline 174.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

315.7Season APEX547.5

60.3Auto55.7

114.6Teleop130.3

47.1Endgame55.1

11Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	49
teleop	63	158
endgame	42	99
foul	10	0
total	175	306

Result

Final score

175 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 62.1 pts

Match videos

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