Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

146.15 – 174.07

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.9 ±14.5

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX 51.39Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1781Lindblom Electric Eagles

Season APEX 88.3Event APEX 58.2Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

5822WolfByte

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 36.56Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.2 ±12.7

6651Golden Bots

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 29.24Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 75.61Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 69.22Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4787, 1781, 5822

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.2 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4787, 1781, 5822

Auto

26.0 19%

Teleop

75.8 56%

Endgame

34.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6651, 2290, 112

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.1 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6651, 2290, 112

Auto

30.9 18%

Teleop

94.5 56%

Endgame

43.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score146.2pts

Blue projected score174.1pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -27.9
Score range: 115–205
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 243 vs event baseline 172.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261.9Season APEX239.2

26Auto30.9

75.8Teleop94.5

34.5Endgame43.6

41Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	25
teleop	27	90
endgame	6	42
foul	15	15
total	71	172

Result

Final score

71 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.