Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.15 – 175.56

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

187 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 7.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 385.7 ±13.6

3734StarBots

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 19.06Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 84.16Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 72.93Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.2 ±12.7

6651Golden Bots

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 28.69Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 77.13Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 69.74Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3734, 8096, 3061

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.2 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3734, 8096, 3061

Auto

35.7 21%

Teleop

95.4 57%

Endgame

36.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6651, 2290, 112

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.6 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6651, 2290, 112

Auto

33.0 19%

Teleop

91.8 52%

Endgame

50.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score176.2pts

Blue projected score175.6pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.6
Score range: 145–207
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 172.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

385.7Season APEX239.2

35.7Auto33

95.4Teleop91.8

36.8Endgame50.1

82Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	27
teleop	103	105
endgame	12	20
foul	10	20
total	187	172

Result

Final score

187 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 7.2 pts

Match videos

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