Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

221.58 – 173.36

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

232 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 315.7 ±15.4

7201Crobotics

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 23.51Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 123.73Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 82

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 74.34Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.2 ±12.7

6651Golden Bots

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 31.84Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 72.46Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 69.06Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7201, 5934, 8020

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.6 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7201, 5934, 8020

Auto

60.4 29%

Teleop

104.7 50%

Endgame

45.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6651, 2290, 112

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.4 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6651, 2290, 112

Auto

29.9 18%

Teleop

94.0 56%

Endgame

42.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score221.6pts

Blue projected score173.4pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 48.2
Score range: 141–254
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 175.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

315.7Season APEX239.2

60.4Auto29.9

104.7Teleop94

45.6Endgame42.8

17Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	28
teleop	104	35
endgame	31	45
foul	40	10
total	232	118

Result

Final score

232 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 pts

Match videos

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