Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

76.29 – 34.29

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

196 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 276.4 ±13.3

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 54.57Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 10.86Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 10.86Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 205.9 ±16

2022Titan Robotics

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 10.86Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7417Bionic Bombers

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 16Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4702Cyberdogz

Provisional

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 7.43Rank 33Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8096, 2358, 3067

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8096, 2358, 3067

Auto

14.3 20%

Teleop

47.5 65%

Endgame

11.4 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2022, 7417, 4702

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.3 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2022, 7417, 4702

Auto

10.6 34%

Teleop

14.0 44%

Endgame

6.9 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score76.3pts

Blue projected score34.3pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42
Score range: 4–106
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 260 vs event baseline 168.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

276.4Season APEX205.9

14.3Auto10.6

47.5Teleop14

11.4Endgame6.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	9
teleop	136	25
endgame	28	20
foul	10	10
total	196	64

Result

Final score

196 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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