Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

243.35 – 89.07

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

343 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 72.3 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 481.5 ±14.7

5847Ironclad

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 98.57Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 81.14Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4296Trident Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 63.64Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 220 ±14.6

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 63.64Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5822WolfByte

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 17.14Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7201Crobotics

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 8.29Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5847, 8020, 4296

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.3 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5847, 8020, 4296

Auto

42.3 17%

Teleop

150.5 62%

Endgame

50.6 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 112, 5822, 7201

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.1 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 112, 5822, 7201

Auto

20.3 24%

Teleop

47.9 56%

Endgame

16.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score243.3pts

Blue projected score89.1pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.3
Score range: 61–271
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 477 vs event baseline 156.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

481.5Season APEX220

42.3Auto20.3

150.5Teleop47.9

50.6Endgame16.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	24
teleop	171	60
endgame	93	35
foul	5	15
total	343	134

Result

Final score

343 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 72.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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