Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

284.9 – 51.68

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

299 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405 ±15.6

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 175.52Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 95.71Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1739Chicago Knights Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 13.67Rank 32Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242 ±15.7

9280PrepaTec - High Altitude Robotics

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 12.44Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3734StarBots

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 26.76Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 12.48Rank 35Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 111, 10435, 1739

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.9 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 111, 10435, 1739

Auto

52.5 19%

Teleop

164.6 59%

Endgame

62.8 22%

Strengths

· 111 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9280, 3734, 11173

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.7 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9280, 3734, 11173

Auto

19.6 45%

Teleop

16.1 37%

Endgame

8.1 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.57 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score284.9pts

Blue projected score51.7pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 233.2
Score range: 19–318
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 181.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405Season APEX242

52.5Auto19.6

164.6Teleop16.1

62.8Endgame8.1

26Consistency100

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	3
teleop	179	12
endgame	76	11
foul	0	5
total	299	31

Result

Final score

299 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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