Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

151.66 – 103.89

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

135 – 139

Prediction missed · off by 25.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.3 ±19.7

9669Regina Riveters

Provisional

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 4.25Rank 31Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4863The Chicago Style BotPups

Provisional

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 18.25Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 129.16Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 82

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.1 ±13.9

2022Titan Robotics

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 11.1Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 75.66Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9280PrepaTec - High Altitude Robotics

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 17.13Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9669, 4863, 5934

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.7 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9669, 4863, 5934

Auto

42.1 28%

Teleop

72.4 48%

Endgame

35.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2022, 2290, 9280

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.9 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2022, 2290, 9280

Auto

20.1 21%

Teleop

51.1 53%

Endgame

25.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score151.7pts

Blue projected score103.9pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.8
Score range: 73–183
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 274 vs event baseline 170.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212.3Season APEX238.1

42.1Auto20.1

72.4Teleop51.1

35Endgame25.8

29Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	32
teleop	57	68
endgame	21	29
foul	15	10
total	135	139

Result

Final score

135 – 139

Prediction missed · off by 25.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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