Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

12.36 – 113.72

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 119 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.6 ±16.6

1739Chicago Knights Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 3.4Rank 32Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8122Mechanical Mustaches

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 3.97Rank 34Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 4.99Rank 35Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 347.1 ±15.6

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 23.26Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 58.07Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4296Trident Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 32.39Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1739, 8122, 11173

/ 100 compat

Projected

12.4 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1739, 8122, 11173

Auto

8.2 79%

Teleop

10.7 100%

Endgame

-8.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3067, 3061, 4296

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.7 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 3067, 3061, 4296

Auto

30.6 30%

Teleop

46.4 46%

Endgame

24.6 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score12.4pts

Blue projected score113.7pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -101.4
Score range: -19–145
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 364 vs event baseline 169.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212.6Season APEX347.1

8.2Auto30.6

10.7Teleop46.4

-8.5Endgame24.6

49Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	47
teleop	39	157
endgame	26	61
foul	15	0
total	99	265

Result

Final score

99 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 119 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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