Qualification · Qualification 56
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
84.3 – 124.69
38%62%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
36 – 173
Prediction correct · off by 48.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 154.2 ±18.8
4702Cyberdogz
Provisional
Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 15.27Rank 33Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 55.38Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
2151PMSA Monty Pythons
Provisional
Season APEX 32.6Event APEX 13.65Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 351 ±12.2
Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 16.22Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 16.74Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 91.73Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4702, 3472, 2151
43
/ 100 compatProjected
84.3 pts
~1.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 4702, 3472, 2151
Auto
22.5 30%
Teleop
34.7 46%
Endgame
19.0 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7417, 9280, 2338
52
/ 100 compatProjected
124.7 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 7417, 9280, 2338
Auto
35.6 29%
Teleop
63.2 51%
Endgame
26.1 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.86
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score84.3pts
Blue projected score124.7pts
Red win probability38%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -40.4
- Score range
- 53–156
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
154.2Season APEX351
22.5Auto35.6
34.7Teleop63.2
19Endgame26.1
31Consistency2
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 42 |
| teleop | 9 | 92 |
| endgame | 0 | 39 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 36 | 173 |
Result
Final score
36 – 173
Prediction correct · off by 48.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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