Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

274.4 – 354.95

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92 – 362

Prediction correct · off by 94.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 358.4 ±12.2

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 102.48Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 99.17Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX 72.75Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.5 ±12.8

5847Ironclad

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 218.05Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 71.77Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 65.13Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8096, 8020, 4787

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8096, 8020, 4787

Auto

43.4 16%

Teleop

167.6 63%

Endgame

56.7 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5847, 2290, 2358

/ 100 compat

Projected

355 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 5847, 2290, 2358

Auto

59.4 17%

Teleop

197.1 57%

Endgame

88.1 26%

Strengths

· 5847 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.14 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score274.4pts

Blue projected score355pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -80.6
Score range: 243–386
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 454 vs event baseline 171.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

358.4Season APEX445.5

43.4Auto59.4

167.6Teleop197.1

56.7Endgame88.1

37Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	85
teleop	5	192
endgame	30	85
foul	15	0
total	92	362

Result

Final score

92 – 362

Prediction correct · off by 94.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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