Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

263.56 – 96.25

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

140 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 84.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.1 ±13.7

7201Crobotics

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 31.42Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 118.27Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 113.87Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.5 ±16

6651Golden Bots

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 33.7Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4863The Chicago Style BotPups

Provisional

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 25.59Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4645The Chicago Style BotDogs

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 36.96Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7201, 10435, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.6 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7201, 10435, 48

Auto

39.3 15%

Teleop

149.3 56%

Endgame

76.3 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6651, 4863, 4645

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.3 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6651, 4863, 4645

Auto

28.4 29%

Teleop

45.3 47%

Endgame

22.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score263.6pts

Blue projected score96.3pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 167.3
Score range: 65–295
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 191 vs event baseline 172.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.1Season APEX161.5

39.3Auto28.4

149.3Teleop45.3

76.3Endgame22.6

15Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	23
teleop	58	27
endgame	18	1
foul	20	0
total	140	51

Result

Final score

140 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 84.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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