Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.98 – 227.76

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.2 ±18.4

8029Steel Bronco Robotics

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 17.55Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4702Cyberdogz

Provisional

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 12.03Rank 33Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9669Regina Riveters

Provisional

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 2.4Rank 31Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452.9 ±11

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 98.96Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 72.55Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 56.25Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8029, 4702, 9669

/ 100 compat

Projected

32 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8029, 4702, 9669

Auto

20.5 72%

Teleop

0.8 3%

Endgame

7.1 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8020, 112, 3061

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.8 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 8020, 112, 3061

Auto

44.9 20%

Teleop

125.2 57%

Endgame

49.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score32pts

Blue projected score227.8pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -195.8
Score range: 1–259
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 296 vs event baseline 171.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.2Season APEX452.9

20.5Auto44.9

0.8Teleop125.2

7.1Endgame49.4

16Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	52
teleop	24	121
endgame	22	55
foul	0	0
total	68	228

Result

Final score

68 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree