Qualification · Qualification 49
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
233.88 – 52.32
91%9%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
70 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 85.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.7 ±15.1
Season APEX 112Event APEX 149.53Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 82
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 59.82Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 24.53Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.8 ±16
1739Chicago Knights Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 2.4Rank 32Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 35.24Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 14.68Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5934, 5822, 2022
77
/ 100 compatProjected
233.9 pts
~2.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 5934, 5822, 2022
Auto
41.0 19%
Teleop
122.4 56%
Endgame
56.3 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1739, 4645, 7417
18
/ 100 compatProjected
52.3 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 1739, 4645, 7417
Auto
14.0 31%
Teleop
5.3 12%
Endgame
26.0 57%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score233.9pts
Blue projected score52.3pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 181.6
- Score range
- 21–265
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
289.7Season APEX144.8
41Auto14
122.4Teleop5.3
56.3Endgame26
24Consistency31
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 16 |
| teleop | 17 | 25 |
| endgame | 3 | 14 |
| foul | 15 | 5 |
| total | 70 | 60 |
Result
Final score
70 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 85.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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