Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

153.59 – 272.65

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

208 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 45.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.1 ±15.1

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 64.5Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7201Crobotics

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 24.09Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX 65Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384.2 ±12.2

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 59.54Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9280PrepaTec - High Altitude Robotics

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 22.48Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 190.63Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2290, 7201, 4787

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2290, 7201, 4787

Auto

28.1 19%

Teleop

83.2 56%

Endgame

37.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8880, 9280, 111

/ 100 compat

Projected

272.7 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8880, 9280, 111

Auto

49.0 18%

Teleop

175.4 65%

Endgame

45.8 17%

Strengths

· 111 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score153.6pts

Blue projected score272.7pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -119.1
Score range: 123–304
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 444 vs event baseline 172.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.1Season APEX384.2

28.1Auto49

83.2Teleop175.4

37.5Endgame45.8

11Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	46
teleop	91	129
endgame	65	46
foul	10	15
total	208	236

Result

Final score

208 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 45.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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