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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Midwest Regional Presented by Baxter

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

480.51 – 119.47

98%2%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

585 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 62.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 710.2 ±9.8
111WildStang
A
Season APEX 241Event APEX 179.12Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
48Team E.L.I.T.E.
B
Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 100.81Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5847Ironclad
A
Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 200.58Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 206.2 ±16.5
2290FLYT
C
Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 60.37Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
1739Chicago Knights Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 1.25Rank 32Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
5822WolfByte
C
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 57.85Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 111, 48, 5847
90
/ 100 compat
Projected
480.5 pts
~2.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 111, 48, 5847
Auto
97.1 20%
Teleop
278.4 58%
Endgame
104.1 22%
Strengths
  • · 5847 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2290, 1739, 5822
48
/ 100 compat
Projected
119.5 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 2290, 1739, 5822
Auto
14.1 14%
Teleop
56.9 55%
Endgame
31.6 31%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.67 · Blue 0.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score480.5pts
Blue projected score119.5pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
361
Score range
89–511
Upset likelihood
2%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 725 vs event baseline 168.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

710.2Season APEX206.2
97.1Auto14.1
278.4Teleop56.9
104.1Endgame31.6
180Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7825
teleop35763
endgame13542
foul1510
total585140

Result

Final score

585 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 62.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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