Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

91.63 – 128.45

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

128 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 202.6 ±13.9

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX 61.15Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 14.95Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9280PrepaTec - High Altitude Robotics

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 15.53Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.1 ±13.4

7417Bionic Bombers

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 10.32Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1781Lindblom Electric Eagles

Season APEX 88.3Event APEX 46.45Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 71.68Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4787, 3067, 9280

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4787, 3067, 9280

Auto

23.0 28%

Teleop

46.6 57%

Endgame

11.9 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7417, 1781, 112

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.5 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7417, 1781, 112

Auto

14.6 12%

Teleop

63.9 53%

Endgame

41.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score91.6pts

Blue projected score128.5pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.8
Score range: 61–159
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 269 vs event baseline 169.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

202.6Season APEX232.1

23Auto14.6

46.6Teleop63.9

11.9Endgame41.3

25Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	27
teleop	75	64
endgame	18	50
foul	5	0
total	128	141

Result

Final score

128 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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