Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

268.93 – 207.54

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

291 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 20.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 499.9 ±11.7

5847Ironclad

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 197.59Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 58.99Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9280PrepaTec - High Altitude Robotics

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 12.35Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.1 ±14.6

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 159.3Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 82

8029Steel Bronco Robotics

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 29.4Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 18.84Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5847, 3061, 9280

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.9 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 5847, 3061, 9280

Auto

61.4 24%

Teleop

154.2 61%

Endgame

37.8 15%

Strengths

· 5847 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5934, 8029, 3067

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.5 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 5934, 8029, 3067

Auto

51.8 27%

Teleop

96.6 49%

Endgame

46.9 24%

Strengths

· 5934 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score268.9pts

Blue projected score207.5pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 61.4
Score range: 177–300
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 479 vs event baseline 170.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

499.9Season APEX254.1

61.4Auto51.8

154.2Teleop96.6

37.8Endgame46.9

111Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	37
teleop	155	78
endgame	47	58
foul	0	15
total	291	188

Result

Final score

291 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 20.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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