Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.74 – 209.02

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 101.2 ±20.8

4863The Chicago Style BotPups

Provisional

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 20.49Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

1739Chicago Knights Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 1.11Rank 32Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2151PMSA Monty Pythons

Provisional

Season APEX 32.6Event APEX 5.14Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 319.9 ±12.8

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 51.23Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3472PrepaTec - Buluk

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 52.47Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 105.32Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4863, 1739, 2151

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.7 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4863, 1739, 2151

Auto

13.6 65%

Teleop

1.8 9%

Endgame

5.6 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2358, 3472, 8020

/ 100 compat

Projected

209 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2358, 3472, 8020

Auto

40.4 20%

Teleop

115.6 58%

Endgame

44.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score26.7pts

Blue projected score209pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -182.3
Score range: -4–240
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 266 vs event baseline 171.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

101.2Season APEX319.9

13.6Auto40.4

1.8Teleop115.6

5.6Endgame44.1

8Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	47
teleop	17	112
endgame	17	53
foul	15	5
total	49	217

Result

Final score

49 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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