Qualification · Qualification 34
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
121.99 – 69.9
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
152 – 181
Prediction missed · off by 70.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 387.4 ±14.1
Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 29.07Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 78.24Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 14.68Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 224.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 38.1Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 14.93Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 16.87Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3734, 2338, 3067
45
/ 100 compatProjected
122 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 3734, 2338, 3067
Auto
29.6 25%
Teleop
80.0 68%
Endgame
8.9 8%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2290, 8029, 6651
38
/ 100 compatProjected
69.9 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 2290, 8029, 6651
Auto
18.8 28%
Teleop
34.8 52%
Endgame
12.8 19%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.24
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score122pts
Blue projected score69.9pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 52.1
- Score range
- 39–153
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
387.4Season APEX224.6
29.6Auto18.8
80Teleop34.8
8.9Endgame12.8
56Consistency3
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 44 |
| teleop | 58 | 81 |
| endgame | 51 | 51 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 152 | 181 |
Result
Final score
152 – 181
Prediction missed · off by 70.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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