Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

243.05 – 195.49

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

313 – 255

Prediction correct · off by 64.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.4 ±12.8

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 97.49Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5822WolfByte

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 44.57Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 100.99Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 269.2 ±17.5

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 152.27Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 82

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 42.54Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4702Cyberdogz

Provisional

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 0.68Rank 33Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10435, 5822, 8020

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10435, 5822, 8020

Auto

37.6 16%

Teleop

139.6 60%

Endgame

55.2 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5934, 2358, 4702

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5934, 2358, 4702

Auto

51.8 27%

Teleop

104.9 55%

Endgame

32.4 17%

Strengths

· 5934 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score243.1pts

Blue projected score195.5pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.6
Score range: 165–273
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 568 vs event baseline 167.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.4Season APEX269.2

37.6Auto51.8

139.6Teleop104.9

55.2Endgame32.4

47Consistency100

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	50
teleop	167	125
endgame	103	70
foul	10	10
total	313	255

Result

Final score

313 – 255

Prediction correct · off by 64.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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