Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
125.02 – 149.88
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
163 – 107
Prediction missed · off by 40.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.3 ±12.7
Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 10.61Rank 34Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 80.91Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 33.5Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.2 ±16
Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 66.05Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
1739Chicago Knights Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 15.89Rank 32Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 67.94Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8122, 112, 4645
55
/ 100 compatProjected
125 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 8122, 112, 4645
Auto
17.6 14%
Teleop
62.7 50%
Endgame
44.3 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3472, 1739, 8880
58
/ 100 compatProjected
149.9 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 3472, 1739, 8880
Auto
31.0 21%
Teleop
87.3 58%
Endgame
31.5 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.82
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score125pts
Blue projected score149.9pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -24.9
- Score range
- 95–180
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
218.3Season APEX185.2
17.6Auto31
62.7Teleop87.3
44.3Endgame31.5
106Consistency60
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 23 |
| teleop | 87 | 66 |
| endgame | 52 | 18 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 163 | 107 |
Result
Final score
163 – 107
Prediction missed · off by 40.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.