Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

230.63 – 204.16

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

273 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 26.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 386.6 ±15.6

5847Ironclad

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 197.25Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2022Titan Robotics

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 17.71Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4863The Chicago Style BotPups

Provisional

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 15.67Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386 ±15.3

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 87.44Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX 78.88Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4296Trident Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 37.84Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5847, 2022, 4863

/ 100 compat

Projected

230.6 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 5847, 2022, 4863

Auto

42.8 18%

Teleop

132.8 57%

Endgame

58.3 25%

Strengths

· 5847 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 48, 4787, 4296

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.2 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 48, 4787, 4296

Auto

31.6 15%

Teleop

119.8 58%

Endgame

54.0 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score230.6pts

Blue projected score204.2pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.5
Score range: 174–261
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 488 vs event baseline 166.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

386.6Season APEX386

42.8Auto31.6

132.8Teleop119.8

58.3Endgame54

102Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	38
teleop	149	96
endgame	65	81
foul	5	0
total	273	215

Result

Final score

273 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 26.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.