Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

156.37 – 77.7

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

216 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 95.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.7 ±15.6

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 91.8Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 91.69Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2151PMSA Monty Pythons

Provisional

Season APEX 32.6Event APEX -27.12Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.4 ±14.8

2704Roaring Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 20.52Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1739Chicago Knights Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX -9.7Rank 32Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 66.88Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 112, 8096, 2151

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.4 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 112, 8096, 2151

Auto

19.1 13%

Teleop

111.2 73%

Endgame

21.6 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2704, 1739, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.7 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2704, 1739, 48

Auto

12.0 15%

Teleop

44.6 56%

Endgame

22.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score156.4pts

Blue projected score77.7pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 78.7
Score range: 49–185
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 425 vs event baseline 160.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.7Season APEX409.4

19.1Auto12

111.2Teleop44.6

21.6Endgame22.8

73Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	39
teleop	104	111
endgame	87	54
foul	0	5
total	216	209

Result

Final score

216 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 95.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.