Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
107.31 – 167.16
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
264 – 204
Prediction missed · off by 96.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.5 ±13.3
Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 39.83Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 9.65Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 57.83Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 32.21Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 45.17Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 89.78Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3472, 2290, 112
51
/ 100 compatProjected
107.3 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 3472, 2290, 112
Auto
26.9 26%
Teleop
55.0 53%
Endgame
21.4 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3061, 2022, 10435
64
/ 100 compatProjected
167.2 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 3061, 2022, 10435
Auto
24.9 15%
Teleop
97.6 58%
Endgame
46.1 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.36 · Blue 2.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score107.3pts
Blue projected score167.2pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -59.8
- Score range
- 78–196
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
251.5Season APEX438.6
26.9Auto24.9
55Teleop97.6
21.4Endgame46.1
31Consistency51
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 16 |
| teleop | 159 | 137 |
| endgame | 71 | 51 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 264 | 204 |
Result
Final score
264 – 204
Prediction missed · off by 96.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.