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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

107.31167.16

32%68%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

264204

Prediction missed · off by 96.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.5 ±13.3
Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 39.83Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 9.65Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 57.83Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 32.21Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 45.17Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 89.78Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3472, 2290, 112
51
/ 100 compat
Projected
107.3 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 3472, 2290, 112
Auto
26.9 26%
Teleop
55.0 53%
Endgame
21.4 21%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3061, 2022, 10435
64
/ 100 compat
Projected
167.2 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 3061, 2022, 10435
Auto
24.9 15%
Teleop
97.6 58%
Endgame
46.1 27%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.36 · Blue 2.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score107.3pts
Blue projected score167.2pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-59.8
Score range
78196
Upset likelihood
32%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring

Combined score 468 vs event baseline 160.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

251.5Season APEX438.6
26.9Auto24.9
55Teleop97.6
21.4Endgame46.1
31Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2416
teleop159137
endgame7151
foul100
total264204

Result

Final score

264204

Prediction missed · off by 96.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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