Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.54 – 170.68

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.5 ±13.9

3472PrepaTec - Buluk

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 53.39Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 30.79Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5822WolfByte

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 33.36Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.9 ±15.6

4863The Chicago Style BotPups

Provisional

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 16.26Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 57.14Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 97.28Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3472, 3067, 5822

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3472, 3067, 5822

Auto

26.1 24%

Teleop

59.8 56%

Endgame

21.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4863, 8880, 8096

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.7 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4863, 8880, 8096

Auto

24.2 15%

Teleop

104.3 63%

Endgame

38.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score117.5pts

Blue projected score170.7pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -53.1
Score range: 85–204
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 181.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213.5Season APEX251.9

26.1Auto24.2

59.8Teleop104.3

21.4Endgame38

51Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	18
teleop	21	135
endgame	7	38
foul	15	0
total	60	191

Result

Final score

60 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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