Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.86 – 258.76

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

186 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 71.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.8 ±14.5

2022Titan Robotics

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 17.12Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1781Lindblom Electric Eagles

Season APEX 88.3Event APEX 27.96Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3472PrepaTec - Buluk

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 20.78Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 474.1 ±11

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 107.33Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 135.49Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8029Steel Bronco Robotics

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 15.94Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2022, 1781, 3472

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.9 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2022, 1781, 3472

Auto

30.3 47%

Teleop

20.7 32%

Endgame

13.0 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8020, 111, 8029

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.8 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8020, 111, 8029

Auto

48.4 19%

Teleop

151.1 58%

Endgame

58.9 23%

Strengths

· 111 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score65.9pts

Blue projected score258.8pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -192.9
Score range: 39–286
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 467 vs event baseline 148.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.8Season APEX474.1

30.3Auto48.4

20.7Teleop151.1

13Endgame58.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	63
teleop	109	159
endgame	52	44
foul	5	15
total	186	281

Result

Final score

186 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 71.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.