Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

229.94 – 68.37

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 153

Prediction missed · off by 133.8 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.6 ±15.1

1739Chicago Knights Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 73.89Rank 32Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 69.18Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8029Steel Bronco Robotics

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 86.87Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284 ±17

1781Lindblom Electric Eagles

Season APEX 88.3Event APEX 5.78Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9669Regina Riveters

Provisional

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX -11.3Rank 31Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 73.89Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1739, 2338, 8029

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.9 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1739, 2338, 8029

Auto

32.6 14%

Teleop

149.3 65%

Endgame

48.8 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1781, 9669, 10435

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.4 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1781, 9669, 10435

Auto

17.4 25%

Teleop

34.4 49%

Endgame

18.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score229.9pts

Blue projected score68.4pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.6
Score range: 41–257
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 152.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

351.6Season APEX284

32.6Auto17.4

149.3Teleop34.4

48.8Endgame18.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	32
teleop	12	74
endgame	0	47
foul	0	0
total	47	153

Result

Final score

47 – 153

Prediction missed · off by 133.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree