Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61 – 293.77

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 41.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 129.9 ±17.1

2151PMSA Monty Pythons

Provisional

Season APEX 32.6Event APEX 8.27Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6651Golden Bots

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 28.92Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7201Crobotics

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 23.81Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 414.2 ±12.2

8029Steel Bronco Robotics

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 40.82Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5847Ironclad

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 205.31Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX 47.64Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2151, 6651, 7201

/ 100 compat

Projected

61 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2151, 6651, 7201

Auto

25.8 52%

Teleop

20.2 41%

Endgame

3.3 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8029, 5847, 4787

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.8 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 8029, 5847, 4787

Auto

65.6 23%

Teleop

154.3 53%

Endgame

71.3 24%

Strengths

· 5847 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score61pts

Blue projected score293.8pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -232.8
Score range: 28–327
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 181.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

129.9Season APEX414.2

25.8Auto65.6

20.2Teleop154.3

3.3Endgame71.3

52Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	62
teleop	13	208
endgame	5	75
foul	0	0
total	29	345

Result

Final score

29 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 41.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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