Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

255.91 – 190.85

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

229 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 45.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 508.4 ±10.5

8229Balikbayan Bots

Season APEX 188.9Event APEX 107.39Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1891Bullbots

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 26.78Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8005Mega MeadowBots

Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 121.74Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 457.1 ±10.4

9438Leopard Tech

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX 16.27Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 90.69Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9449Yellowjackets

Season APEX 164.3Event APEX 83.89Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8229, 1891, 8005

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8229, 1891, 8005

Auto

51.0 20%

Teleop

148.6 59%

Endgame

53.1 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9438, 2486, 9449

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9438, 2486, 9449

Auto

27.8 15%

Teleop

117.1 63%

Endgame

42.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score255.9pts

Blue projected score190.9pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 65.1
Score range: 160–287
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 355 vs event baseline 170.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

508.4Season APEX457.1

51Auto27.8

148.6Teleop117.1

53.1Endgame42

10Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	22
teleop	138	75
endgame	38	14
foul	5	15
total	229	126

Result

Final score

229 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 45.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.