Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

18.33 – 77.04

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

127 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 153.8 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.6 ±13.3

10903The Ionizers

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 23.43Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4183Bit Buckets

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 7.45Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7895Trobots

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX -12.55Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376.8 ±14.5

5871Chickadees

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 14.73Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5515Blue Power Robotics

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 7.45Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 54.86Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10903, 4183, 7895

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.3 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10903, 4183, 7895

Auto

6.7 25%

Teleop

21.0 78%

Endgame

-0.7 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5871, 5515, 2122

/ 100 compat

Projected

77 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 5871, 5515, 2122

Auto

22.2 28%

Teleop

58.1 72%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score18.3pts

Blue projected score77pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -58.7
Score range: -8–103
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 403 vs event baseline 144.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

316.6Season APEX376.8

6.7Auto22.2

21Teleop58.1

-0.7Endgame0

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	70
teleop	48	149
endgame	48	52
foul	15	5
total	127	276

Result

Final score

127 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 153.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.