Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
110.29 – 124.84
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
228 – 121
Prediction missed · off by 60.8 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 499.3 ±12.9
Season APEX 161.1Event APEX 0.29Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 89.71Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 20.29Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 435.4 ±12.4
Season APEX 158.9Event APEX 19.42Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 15.71Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 89.71Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9726, 3006, 1828
53
/ 100 compatProjected
110.3 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 9726, 3006, 1828
Auto
17.4 16%
Teleop
78.9 72%
Endgame
14.0 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2726, 7436, 8005
55
/ 100 compatProjected
124.8 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 2726, 7436, 8005
Auto
16.2 13%
Teleop
93.3 76%
Endgame
13.9 11%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score110.3pts
Blue projected score124.8pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -14.5
- Score range
- 85–150
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
499.3Season APEX435.4
17.4Auto16.2
78.9Teleop93.3
14Endgame13.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 21 |
| teleop | 98 | 78 |
| endgame | 79 | 22 |
| foul | 40 | 0 |
| total | 228 | 121 |
Result
Final score
228 – 121
Prediction missed · off by 60.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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