Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.36 – 217.91

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

119 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 18.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.5 ±13.3

2594Naskcorpions

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 30.23Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2726Red Pebble Rebels

Season APEX 158.9Event APEX 10.74Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9726Notus Pirates

Season APEX 161.1Event APEX 46.39Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 378.3 ±13.9

8756Magic Valley Logic Control

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 12.75Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9438Leopard Tech

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX 9.88Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3006Red Rock Robotics

Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 195.28Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2594, 2726, 9726

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.4 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2594, 2726, 9726

Auto

14.9 18%

Teleop

46.7 57%

Endgame

20.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8756, 9438, 3006

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.9 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8756, 9438, 3006

Auto

27.4 13%

Teleop

126.7 61%

Endgame

54.9 26%

Strengths

· 3006 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score87.4pts

Blue projected score217.9pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -130.5
Score range: 58–247
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 343 vs event baseline 160.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388.5Season APEX378.3

14.9Auto27.4

46.7Teleop126.7

20Endgame54.9

29Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	14
teleop	73	112
endgame	28	98
foul	0	0
total	119	224

Result

Final score

119 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 18.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.