Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

123.47 – 46.89

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

210 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.1 ±12.2

8229Balikbayan Bots

Season APEX 188.9Event APEX 76.57Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7334Esquimalt Proton Pulverizers

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 48.57Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1566AMMOKNIGHTS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX -1.67Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.7 ±14.5

8885Socratic Schematics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -0.95Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1828BoxerBots

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 17.17Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

4585Husky Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 30.67Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8229, 7334, 1566

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.5 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 8229, 7334, 1566

Auto

38.9 31%

Teleop

57.8 47%

Endgame

26.8 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8885, 1828, 4585

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8885, 1828, 4585

Auto

9.9 23%

Teleop

7.4 17%

Endgame

25.1 59%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score123.5pts

Blue projected score46.9pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.6
Score range: 18–152
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 238 vs event baseline 161.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

330.1Season APEX161.7

38.9Auto9.9

57.8Teleop7.4

26.8Endgame25.1

84Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	22
teleop	134	6
endgame	67	0
foul	0	0
total	210	28

Result

Final score

210 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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