Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

17.45 – 98.13

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.4 ±13.9

11025Garage Gang

Season APEX 55Event APEX 8.83Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1569Haywire Robotics

Season APEX 82Event APEX 16.99Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7895Trobots

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX -8.37Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341.3 ±16.7

5871Chickadees

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 7.96Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8550The Ram Bots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 16.63Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 73.54Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11025, 1569, 7895

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 11025, 1569, 7895

Auto

7.2 52%

Teleop

0.0 0%

Endgame

6.6 48%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5871, 8550, 2486

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.1 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5871, 8550, 2486

Auto

36.3 38%

Teleop

55.4 57%

Endgame

4.9 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score17.5pts

Blue projected score98.1pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -80.7
Score range: -12–127
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 150 vs event baseline 160.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176.4Season APEX341.3

7.2Auto36.3

0Teleop55.4

6.6Endgame4.9

31Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	14
teleop	0	77
endgame	16	34
foul	0	0
total	25	125

Result

Final score

25 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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