Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.78 – 158.04

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

128 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 49.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 310 ±13.3

4183Bit Buckets

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 47.54Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9726Notus Pirates

Season APEX 161.1Event APEX 44.07Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

74368-Bit Miners

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 15.17Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 353.2 ±12.2

3216MRT

Season APEX 114.7Event APEX 93.26Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10903The Ionizers

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 60.41Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9438Leopard Tech

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX 4.37Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4183, 9726, 7436

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.8 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4183, 9726, 7436

Auto

7.0 7%

Teleop

56.3 60%

Endgame

31.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3216, 10903, 9438

/ 100 compat

Projected

158 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3216, 10903, 9438

Auto

29.9 19%

Teleop

88.9 57%

Endgame

36.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score106.8pts

Blue projected score158pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.3
Score range: 79–186
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 363 vs event baseline 157.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

310Season APEX353.2

7Auto29.9

56.3Teleop88.9

31Endgame36.6

10Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	51
teleop	59	125
endgame	33	54
foul	25	5
total	128	235

Result

Final score

128 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 49.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.