Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.16 – 143.16

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

193 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 81.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.1 ±13.4

7334Esquimalt Proton Pulverizers

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 31.2Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6358The Buhlean Operators

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 64.46Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1828BoxerBots

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 4.5Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.4 ±14.1

8229Balikbayan Bots

Season APEX 188.9Event APEX 61.93Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5515Blue Power Robotics

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 21.05Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8551RoNex

Season APEX 68.2Event APEX 60.18Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7334, 6358, 1828

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.2 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7334, 6358, 1828

Auto

31.2 31%

Teleop

34.3 35%

Endgame

33.7 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8229, 5515, 8551

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.2 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8229, 5515, 8551

Auto

16.8 12%

Teleop

92.4 65%

Endgame

33.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score100.2pts

Blue projected score143.2pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43
Score range: 72–171
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 406 vs event baseline 153.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.1Season APEX311.4

31.2Auto16.8

34.3Teleop92.4

33.7Endgame33

35Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	19
teleop	77	128
endgame	50	66
foul	20	0
total	193	213

Result

Final score

193 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 81.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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