Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

11.29 – 295.08

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.2 ±13.3

1891Bullbots

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 20.95Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8885Socratic Schematics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -6.73Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7895Trobots

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX -2.93Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.2 ±12.8

3006Red Rock Robotics

Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 207.57Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4183Bit Buckets

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 46.69Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4585Husky Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 40.82Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1891, 8885, 7895

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.3 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 1891, 8885, 7895

Auto

6.6 100%

Teleop

-27.3 0%

Endgame

25.1 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3006, 4183, 4585

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.1 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3006, 4183, 4585

Auto

27.0 10%

Teleop

167.6 60%

Endgame

84.2 30%

Strengths

· 3006 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score11.3pts

Blue projected score295.1pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -283.8
Score range: -17–323
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 352 vs event baseline 153.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

185.2Season APEX423.2

6.6Auto27

-27.3Teleop167.6

25.1Endgame84.2

26Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	58
teleop	1	180
endgame	12	69
foul	5	5
total	40	312

Result

Final score

40 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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