Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.99 – 269.1

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

116 – 285

Prediction correct · off by 9.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.9 ±15.3

4585Husky Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 38.79Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8756Magic Valley Logic Control

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 13.73Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10903The Ionizers

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 67.47Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 450.4 ±12.4

1569Haywire Robotics

Season APEX 82Event APEX 16.72Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4175Coded Summit

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 40.94Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 211.44Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4585, 8756, 10903

/ 100 compat

Projected

120 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4585, 8756, 10903

Auto

17.4 16%

Teleop

56.8 51%

Endgame

37.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1569, 4175, 2122

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.1 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1569, 4175, 2122

Auto

67.2 25%

Teleop

153.5 57%

Endgame

46.5 17%

Strengths

· 2122 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score120pts

Blue projected score269.1pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -149.1
Score range: 92–297
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 401 vs event baseline 154.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

301.9Season APEX450.4

17.4Auto67.2

56.8Teleop153.5

37.6Endgame46.5

26Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	27
teleop	63	219
endgame	29	39
foul	10	0
total	116	285

Result

Final score

116 – 285

Prediction correct · off by 9.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.