Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

188.76 – 332.15

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

271 – 383

Prediction correct · off by 66.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 383.7 ±14.5

8885Socratic Schematics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -15.2Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 200.98Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8756Magic Valley Logic Control

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 2.98Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 551.3 ±11.9

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 191.24Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8005Mega MeadowBots

Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 92.71Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8551RoNex

Season APEX 68.2Event APEX 48.2Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8885, 2122, 8756

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 8885, 2122, 8756

Auto

47.2 26%

Teleop

93.7 52%

Endgame

38.6 22%

Strengths

· 2122 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 359, 8005, 8551

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.2 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 359, 8005, 8551

Auto

62.9 19%

Teleop

197.6 60%

Endgame

68.1 21%

Strengths

· 359 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score188.8pts

Blue projected score332.2pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -143.4
Score range: 162–359
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 654 vs event baseline 151.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

383.7Season APEX551.3

47.2Auto62.9

93.7Teleop197.6

38.6Endgame68.1

134Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	75
teleop	146	236
endgame	68	72
foul	0	0
total	271	383

Result

Final score

271 – 383

Prediction correct · off by 66.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.