Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.85 – 129.79

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 136

Prediction missed · off by 15.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.5 ±15.3

4585Husky Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 43.28Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6358The Buhlean Operators

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 71.93Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8550The Ram Bots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 17.64Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312.7 ±13.3

5515Blue Power Robotics

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 26.46Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2594Naskcorpions

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 32.63Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10903The Ionizers

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 70.7Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4585, 6358, 8550

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.9 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4585, 6358, 8550

Auto

27.5 20%

Teleop

78.8 58%

Endgame

28.5 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5515, 2594, 10903

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.8 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5515, 2594, 10903

Auto

20.8 15%

Teleop

61.9 46%

Endgame

52.0 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score132.9pts

Blue projected score129.8pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.1
Score range: 103–160
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 244 vs event baseline 152.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208.5Season APEX312.7

27.5Auto20.8

78.8Teleop61.9

28.5Endgame52

0Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	21
teleop	54	75
endgame	28	40
foul	0	0
total	108	136

Result

Final score

108 – 136

Prediction missed · off by 15.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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