Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

255.16 – 86.01

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

362 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 443.3 ±11.7

6358The Buhlean Operators

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 56.4Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2594Naskcorpions

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 14.17Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 184.59Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.7 ±15.1

2130Alpha+

Season APEX 23.7Event APEX 26.88Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

4585Husky Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 42.45Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2726Red Pebble Rebels

Season APEX 158.9Event APEX 16.68Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6358, 2594, 2122

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.2 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6358, 2594, 2122

Auto

63.5 25%

Teleop

149.4 60%

Endgame

37.3 15%

Strengths

· 2122 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2130, 4585, 2726

/ 100 compat

Projected

86 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2130, 4585, 2726

Auto

23.3 26%

Teleop

51.9 59%

Endgame

12.9 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.55 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score255.2pts

Blue projected score86pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 169.1
Score range: 59–282
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 435 vs event baseline 151.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

443.3Season APEX241.7

63.5Auto23.3

149.4Teleop51.9

37.3Endgame12.9

75Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	13
teleop	204	26
endgame	88	29
foul	0	5
total	362	73

Result

Final score

362 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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