Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

282.15 – 107.21

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

296 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 383.4 ±16

8550The Ram Bots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 16.95Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7497MARAHO

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 53.17Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

3006Red Rock Robotics

Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 212.03Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 258.1 ±14.5

1569Haywire Robotics

Season APEX 82Event APEX 12.73Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1828BoxerBots

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX -9.91Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3216MRT

Season APEX 114.7Event APEX 104.39Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8550, 7497, 3006

/ 100 compat

Projected

282.2 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 8550, 7497, 3006

Auto

37.1 13%

Teleop

177.1 64%

Endgame

61.1 22%

Strengths

· 3006 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1569, 1828, 3216

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.2 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 1569, 1828, 3216

Auto

17.5 17%

Teleop

46.8 46%

Endgame

36.5 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score282.2pts

Blue projected score107.2pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 174.9
Score range: 80–309
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 450 vs event baseline 151.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

383.4Season APEX258.1

37.1Auto17.5

177.1Teleop46.8

61.1Endgame36.5

37Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	27
teleop	156	72
endgame	71	55
foul	15	0
total	296	154

Result

Final score

296 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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