Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

240.75 – 171.58

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

269 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 40.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 408.6 ±12

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 187.88Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4175Coded Summit

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 46.13Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

74368-Bit Miners

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 6.74Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.4 ±11.7

6358The Buhlean Operators

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 52.71Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8005Mega MeadowBots

Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 77.08Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4183Bit Buckets

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 41.79Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 359, 4175, 7436

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 359, 4175, 7436

Auto

52.2 21%

Teleop

149.2 61%

Endgame

41.6 17%

Strengths

· 359 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6358, 8005, 4183

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6358, 8005, 4183

Auto

21.8 13%

Teleop

117.4 69%

Endgame

30.8 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score240.8pts

Blue projected score171.6pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.2
Score range: 145–268
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 494 vs event baseline 151.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

408.6Season APEX387.4

52.2Auto21.8

149.2Teleop117.4

41.6Endgame30.8

97Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	45
teleop	119	149
endgame	92	26
foul	0	5
total	269	225

Result

Final score

269 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 40.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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