Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.55 – 126.89

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

102 – 76

Prediction missed · off by 27.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 172.8 ±16.4

7334Esquimalt Proton Pulverizers

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 41.56Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8756Magic Valley Logic Control

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 9.87Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7497MARAHO

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 55.12Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237.2 ±14.8

8550The Ram Bots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 21.92Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5461Victorian Engineered Robotic Nation or V.E.R.N.

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 77.57Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1891Bullbots

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 27.4Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7334, 8756, 7497

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7334, 8756, 7497

Auto

23.6 24%

Teleop

44.9 46%

Endgame

29.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8550, 5461, 1891

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8550, 5461, 1891

Auto

13.5 10%

Teleop

80.9 62%

Endgame

35.5 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score106.6pts

Blue projected score126.9pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.3
Score range: 80–154
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 150.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

172.8Season APEX237.2

23.6Auto13.5

44.9Teleop80.9

29.8Endgame35.5

108Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	26
teleop	40	22
endgame	32	23
foul	15	5
total	102	76

Result

Final score

102 – 76

Prediction missed · off by 27.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.