Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

290.42 – 42.12

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

319 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 513 ±11.2

9449Yellowjackets

Season APEX 164.3Event APEX 53.87Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 197.39Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4585Husky Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 39.16Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233 ±15.8

2726Red Pebble Rebels

Season APEX 158.9Event APEX 34.58Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5871Chickadees

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 6.32Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8885Socratic Schematics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX 1.22Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9449, 2122, 4585

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.4 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9449, 2122, 4585

Auto

52.8 19%

Teleop

185.1 66%

Endgame

44.3 16%

Strengths

· 2122 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2726, 5871, 8885

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.1 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2726, 5871, 8885

Auto

14.0 32%

Teleop

17.0 38%

Endgame

13.3 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score290.4pts

Blue projected score42.1pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 248.3
Score range: 15–317
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 349 vs event baseline 149.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

513Season APEX233

52.8Auto14

185.1Teleop17

44.3Endgame13.3

51Consistency160

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	10
teleop	159	17
endgame	81	3
foul	5	0
total	319	30

Result

Final score

319 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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