Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 157.5

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

133 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 124.3 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.5 ±15.3

4175Coded Summit

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 22.52Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7334Esquimalt Proton Pulverizers

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX -13.89Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8550The Ram Bots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX -34.99Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 382.3 ±12

11025Garage Gang

Season APEX 55Event APEX 9.84Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4585Husky Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 57.5Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 90.16Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4175, 7334, 8550

/ 100 compat

Projected

-26.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4175, 7334, 8550

Auto

-5.9 33%

Teleop

17.2 0%

Endgame

-29.2 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11025, 4585, 359

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.5 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 11025, 4585, 359

Auto

33.6 22%

Teleop

71.5 47%

Endgame

46.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-26.4pts

Blue projected score157.5pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -157.5
Score range: -26–184
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 406 vs event baseline 144.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

220.5Season APEX382.3

-5.9Auto33.6

17.2Teleop71.5

-29.2Endgame46.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	53
teleop	107	157
endgame	2	48
foul	0	15
total	133	273

Result

Final score

133 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 124.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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